The 5 Day Storm is Almost Done

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Good morning and thanks for reading the FOX 4 Weather Blog. I thought today I’d start out with a follow up to the entry from yesterday. If you remember I spent the late morning judging science fair entries @ the 61st Greater KC science and Engineering Fair held @ Union Station. There were hundreds of exhibits, from students in elementary school all the way through high school. My focus, along with Evan Bookbinder from the NWS in Pleasant Hill was looking for the 2 exhibits that were the best, we felt, for Meteorology. Off all those exhibits there were about 8 that fell into our final judging, and two that stood out in our opinion.

The 2nd Place entry was this one from Robert Alan Mason, entitled “The Effect Of El Nino Modoki On Tropical Cyclones.He goes to Olathe North HS

The funny story about this is the Evan and I both looked at each other not having a clue about the “Modoki” aspect of the presentation. I had never heard of that phrase and it sent me running to my phone to look at what it was referring to. That part of it refers to the warming of the more central pacific waters rather than the eastern pacific waters. Typically El Nino’s warm the water in regions 1 & 2 and part of 3 in the following graphic. El Nino Moliki refers to warming more in the 3.4-4 boxes. Take a look at the graphic to see what I’m referring to.

It makes sense then to think that the feedback into the atmosphere will be different with warming taking place in a different region. That we always knew, however I didn’t know that there was a term for it. See we learned something.

The winner we felt was Brett Budach from Olathe North as well. His name is familiar to me and I think he’s won this Certificate before or at least been considered for it in the past. His exhibit was entitled “The Effect of Winter Weather Patterns On Local Pollen Levels.”

Congratulations to all these students for their dedication and hard work. I’ll be passing out their awards tomorrow in Crown Center!

Now back to weather as the final day of the storm is starting to happen for us. Yesterday worked out about as expected, although the coverage of the afternoon rain was a bit more widespread than what I thought. The evening rain coverage was what I expected though. AS soon as temperatures bubbled into the 65°+ range, that was all we needed to get the atmosphere in motion. There were some tiny hail reports, there were also some gusty winds, approaching 40-50 MPH on the KS side and there was more locally heavy rainfall.

This storm has generated 2-3.5″ of rain as a pretty good average in the region and it pretty much did everything I thought it would do from last weekend. We’re still not quite done with it though, and if you get a chance to look at some of the visible satellite pictures this afternoon, you should be able to see a nice circulation with it. This is a picture from yesterday…it was impressive to look at for sure.

There were a few “cold air funnels” towards and south of Topeka I think. As a matter of fact the folks at KSN-TV in Wichita caught one of them live on the air. Today the upper level low will drift from just south of KC to near St Louis. You can see it still on the water vapor loop located here. Here is a look at the model run today from the GFS showing the storm pulling away!

There is still some rainfall out there, and it’s moving from the east to the west circulating around the storm system.

There are breaks in the clouds as well, so there will be at least some sunshine at times today, but with convective temperatures near 60, and highs today in the 60-65 range, some scattered PM activity is not out of the question either, assuming we get enough cracks in the clouds.

There is no doubt that the weather has been goofy for the past several months, and the month of March just continues that theme. A couple of weeks ago in HI there was a big hailstorm which is somewhat unusual for them. The real bizarre thing though was the size of the hail. It’s tough to get big hailstones there because the freezing level of the atmosphere is so high near the equator, however not on March 9th. I blogged about it then, but it deserves another mention as they broke the HI state record for the largest hail…with this stone, a whooping 4.25″ large!

There have been 1000s of records set this month for warmest highs, all time March warmest highs and also warmest overnight lows. The upper midwest has seen 100s of these records, so much so that the fruit trees are blossoming across parts of MI about 1–2 months early. While pretty this is not a good thing because they will be very vulnerable to additional freezes and hard freezes that are bound to happen up there over the next month or so and probably will sometime next week!. So they are really concerned about what may happen to the various crops across the state. See sometimes all this great weather is NOT a good thing.

Meanwhile for us we’ll be nudging 80° on Sunday and early next week before a weak front moves in with another chance of rain sometime later TUE or early WED AM.

Enjoy and thanks for reading!


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