Finally Some Relief!
7PM Update: Storms have fired up in various areas…one across NW MO and another down towards the Lakes region. They have both put out outflow boundaries (mini cold fronts) that may converge near and north of the KC metro over the next 2 hours. It’s possible that that convergence may spark additional new storms. Here is a look at radar for you showing the potential convergence area…
Highs today: KCI 105 (record tied)
Lees Summit: 106°
St Joseph: 104°
Very impressive heat!
Certainly not today though, and tomorrow it will be better but still not exactly great out there but by Monday things should be improved. It will never get cool, but at least it should be more seasonable as opposed to the extremeness that we’ve endured for late June and early July.
I thought I’d briefly show you where we’ve been for the last 10+ days…this really all started on 6/27…although even the 3 days before that were very toasty with highs int eh lower to upper 90s.
Click on that image to make it larger…this is data for KCI through yesterday. We hit a record high yesterday @ 104°. Today’s record is 105° and as of this writing we’re at 104° @ KCI with 106° being reported downtown! The KC record today is 105° set back in 1939.
So essentially for the last 2 weeks we’ve seen highs from the lower 90s to the mid 100s which is impressive for this time of the year. We’re some 10″ below average for rainfall since 4/1 and it’s marginal how much activity we see tonight and tomorrow. There will be some activity out there and the chances will continue through tomorrow evening, so at least we have a chance of something happening from this evening through tomorrow evening. The better chances (30%) look to be from areas near the KC Metro and points southwards.
Here is the latest surface map showing the true cold front still to our NW which will slowly sag through the region. The initial push of cooler air will be weak and that’s why tomorrow, while not near 100°, should still be in the 90-95° range + the dewpoints will be slightly higher as well so yes it won’t be 105°, but 95° with muggier air may not feel so great either.
The RED shaded areas are readings as of the 2PM hour near 100 or above…the BLUE shaded areas in NW NE are where readings are below 80°.
The satellite pics this afternoon along with radar indicate some convective activity across the Ozarks, and also some agitated clouds developing across Bourbon Co and Bates Co….so scattered development of storms is possible in the next few hours. The front itself should struggle to develop activity because of a lack of strong convergence and weak wind fields aloft. Some activity though is possible this evening in the region.
No other real changes are needed to the forecast at this point so see the previous blogs for that information…everything still looks great for the main All Star festivities coming on Monday and Tuesday.
One of my colleagues from the NWS was kind enough to get together some stats that show how this heat ranks compared to previous years…
By the end of Saturday we’ll have 11 consecutive days of 95 or warmer temperatures making this the 11th longest stretch in KC history: (Rank-# of 95°+ straight days-Year)
1 20 8/27/1936
2 19 7/26/1934
3 18 7/25/1901
4 17 7/20/1980
5 17 7/19/1936
6 16 8/15/1934
7 13 8/16/2007
8 13 8/13/1947
9 13 8/16/1913
10 13 7/ 4/1901
17 11 7/ 7/2012
We’ll end this stretch with 6 consecutive 100+ days which will be the 8th longest stretch in KC history and will end as the 2nd earliest such stretch to the warmth of 1988. We could have reached 11 straight 100+ degree days were it not for the 99 and 97 on the 1st and 2nd of July (Rank-Number of 100+ days in a row-Year)
1 16 8/27/1936
2 14 7/25/1934
3 13 7/19/1936
4 9 8/12/1934
5 8 8/ 2/1935
6 7 7/17/1939
7 7 7/25/1901
8 6 8/21/2003
9 6 6/25/1988
10 6 7/11/1980
Finally before I leave you…I played golf on Thursday (102°) and talked to some of the guys watering the course to try and keep the grass alive in the heat. i played St Andrews (my home course) in Overland Park and between the course and the soccer fields next door which are turf but with grassy areas in between they were thinking they’d be using close to 460,000 gallons of water from their retaining ponds. The problem is the retaining ponds are being drained fast! Here are a couple of pics showing the low levels of water.
and here is the other…
Notice how far they’ve come down…my guess is some 6 feet or so! They want the rain and you want the rain. Somebody will get lucky and many will be lacking and there really isn’t another decent chance showing up for quite some time after tomorrow night…so whatever happens needs to happen in a big way this evening if not tomorrow!
- WATCH: Terrifying pileup shows the danger of exiting your car after an accident
- College student, 18, killed in accident involving ice and semi on I-435
- Claustrophobic woman claws her way out of bathroom
- Police confirm body found in Lawrence belongs to missing student
- Father speaks of sons, 3 and 1, killed in Missouri house fire