This is potentially a historic weather day for the US and mainly for the NE part of the country. In order to provide rapid updates throughout the event, I along with the web staff will be providing a LIVE blog here.
This will enable me to pass along tweets/updates etc in fast fashion without re-writing the weather blog. The information will be posted as it comes in and I anticipate hundreds of updates through the day so check in or just leave it up on your screen and “refresh” often.
The storm is again strengthening, but it’s doing so because it’s now in the process of transitioning from a Hurricane, which has warm air surrounding it and in it’s center to an “extra-tropical” storm which has colder air mixed in. This process will be ongoing throughout the day, and the intensification, with winds of 85 MPH and a pressure down to an incredible 27.91″ (945 mbs) will continue though the day until the storm comes ashore somewhere in NJ.
At this point the storm appears to come ashore early this evening in southern NJ…this is a bit south of my previous thinking of central NJ. Here is the forecast from the Hurricane Center.
Rainfall is impressive and will actually increase over the next 24 hours. Here is the forecast totals for the next 5 days.
Flooding is becoming widespread, mainly from the storm surge, and what’s impressive is that the storm’s core is still some 250 miles out to sea. So the water has built up several feet already and as the tides go up again the flooding will be more apparent along the coastal areas. Flooding is reported in Atlantic City as well as Norfolk, VA and many other areas right along the water’s edge.
Winds as of this writing are now gusting to 50 MPH in the NYC area and will increase as the day/night move along. The main concern, aside from the wind is the flooding in NYC and the timing on that will be during tonight’s high tide, before midnight. That is when the worst of the flooding may occur.
As mentioned the storm is strengthening and it’s satellite presentation is getting more impressive. You can clearly see that N and now almost NW movement.
As far as the future movement goes/per the modelling here is the RAP model animation.
More here and on our LIVE blog