How About Some Warmth?

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Well our snowstorm has come and gone and left in it’s wake about 2-4″ widespread through the region with a few isolated 5″ totals being reported in the area as well. Probably though on average 2-3″ seems about right and with that snowcover and brief clearing overnight temperatures dropped to about 10° with single digit lows to the north of the metro.

Overall I’m pretty pleased by the forecast, there were a few wrinkles in there as there usually are with such weird storms that are evolving for the good or bad on top of us but my timeline information on Sunday’s blog seemed pretty good. I probably could’ve nowcasted the evening snows a bit better but in the end things worked out about as expected with amounts and road condition expectations.

At least it snowed and accumulated. We’ve picked up about 4.6 of snow for the just finished month of December. This is vastly different from last season where our total for ALL of last winter was 3.9″. So that in and of itself is impressive an is one vastly different way that this winter is shaping up to be different than last winter.

Over the next few days, as we look back at 2012 there will be many things to talk about, especially concerning the warmth that many cities went through. There are quite a few cities that established their ALL-TIME warmest year records in 2012 including KC with average temperatures for the year around 59.8° or so (unofficial). Here is a graph through the 20th showing KC’s temperatures in relation to previous warm years from the NWS.

We ended up at 58.8° for 2012 which is tied for the 3rd warmest year on record (updated info). Despite the cold finish to the year, December was well above average with readings close to 4.4° above average for the month. I’m pretty sure every month was above average in 2012 from a temperature standpoint.

So with all that said, and as it looks to stay chilly into the beginning of the weekend around here, let’s focus on a January thaw that should move in next week as the jetstream retreats to the north and the cold air is focused into the NE part of the country and New England. Here is the GFS forecast for NEXT Tuesday evening.

gfs

The jetstream will start to split off the west coast and some sort of storm will move into the country early next week and perhaps be our next precipitation maker in about 7-10 days or so. Assuming we warm-up ahead of that feature, odds favor more of a liquid event for that next system.

The EURO model handles this configuration differently.so much so that it suggests that we could see more dramatic warmth TUE-FRI of next week with minimal chances of precip. We’ll see about that.

Finally some more snow totals from the storm…this information from the NWS in Topeka…

ScreenHunter_06 Jan. 01 09.06

This from the NWS in Pleasant Hill…some of these reports will get updated later this AM since the reports were made during the event and not at the end of the event so some may be a bit low.

ScreenHunter_07 Jan. 01 09.07

On behalf of all of us in the FOX 4 Weather Center…Happy New Year, and here’s hoping we have more moisture in 2013!

Joe

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