Joe’s Weather Blog: Wet/Stormy Pattern Remains In Play

This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Please look at the time stamp on the story to see when it was last updated.

Some good old gully washers last night…2 lines of storms with the 2nd line the one that gave the KC metro area more much needed rainfall…all this was explained in the blog updates last night and also on my twitter updates. Please follow @fox4wx for my weather updates. I send out numerous tweets last night including severe weather reports and warnings. The warning information comes out within about 10 seconds of the warning issuance…so it really is a decent source for warning information. Always have multiple sources in case one fails for whatever reason. Also please note that with the reformatted web page that you may need to adjust your bookmarking to get to the blog and I’m aware of some other issues as well on the mobile side of things. 😦

Forecast:

Rest Of Today: A front is located north of the I-70 corridor and south of St Joseph. That front will start moving southwards later today. We should be dry though for most of the day with only a slight chance of some redevelopment later this afternoon, perhaps more to the south of the KC area as opposed to on top of the KC area. Clouds have rapidly formed and are filling in quickly at 10AM. Skies for the rest of the day may be rather gray with temperatures only in the 70s on the northside and 80s well southeast/south of KC.

Tonight: It may actually be pretty nice as the dewpoints which were so thick last night start dropping. A sign of more comfortable air moving this way. Lows drop into the 60s.

Thursday: Another complex of storms will form, this time out towards the western Plains states. Odds favor this complex moving through central and southern KS as opposed to towards KC. With that said there may be a few stragglers closer to the KC area. Rain chance right now about 40%. Highs may struggle with lots of clouds…perhaps more like 75-80°. Not a bad day overall and a bit more comfortable.

Discussion:

Well if nothing else the KC metro got some more much needed rainfall. N MO on the other hand got more than needed in one shot as amounts up there were in the 3-6″ range with numerous reports of flooding, The storms were prolific hail producers up there as well. As the storms approached, despite numerous severe t/storms warnings, the winds never really got to warning criteria mostly. There have been a few trees knocked over though. In some cases the trees as we’ve shown you this morning were not in good shape to begin with, which happens often when strong winds blow through…they’re the most vulnerable.

Here is a look at the severe weather reports…for some reason some of the larger hail stone reports in N MO weren’t included…but here you go…1st from the SPC page…

 

Now a closer view…

ScreenHunter_13 Jun. 04 07.53

Click on those images to make them larger…

The rain though was the big story for our region…1st doppler estimates.

ScreenHunter_12 Jun. 04 07.51

Now for the specifics…btw I’m asked sometimes why the MO side is not represented more…that’s because the reports are not imported into this web page (OP Storm Watch). I have to wait till 9:30 AM to get all the MO side reports on a map for you.

Use the arrows on the right/left side to click through the images.

Also here is something that I always find cool…or in this case hot. A somewhat unusual heat burst hit Salina last night. The temperature jumped from the lower 80s to the mid 90s in a couple of hours around midnight last night.

ScreenHunter_14 Jun

The winds when it happened gusted from the SW at close to 40 MPH. The dewpoints (65>45°) tanked and the temperatures soared.

If they occur, it’s typically at night and are tied to decaying thunderstorms. While not fully understood, we believe they happen which rain evaporates aloft and that now cool air descends through the atmosphere. As it drops through the atmosphere it warms up due to compression, and hence when it makes it to the ground it sends the temperatures soaring. One key in developing this phenomena is that the evaporation of the rain must occur rather high in the atmosphere so as that air plunges towards the ground it has a maximum amount to time to warm up.

In a weird way, the phenomena is similar to the creation of microbursts which are more common except in a nightime heat burst the rain evaporates much higher in the sky.

Meanwhile in Hays, KS the exact same phenomena occurred and sent temperatures up to 100°!

OK so now that weather 101 is done…what’s ahead. It’s conceivable that many areas don’t really get another significant rain till either late Friday night or Saturday. There will be chances on THU/FRI but the better chances may reside more towards the south of the KC area. The THU/FRI rain looks more promising for central and SE KS. 2-4″ is possible there.

We’ll talk more about the SAT scenario tomorrow, but the potential for an additional 1-2″ of rain is certainly there.

Have a great rest of your Wednesday. I’ll get another blog update to you tomorrow afternoon by 3PM.

Joe

 

 

 

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8 comments

  • Joe Lauria

    The 1st line of storms rode the edge of the cap…avoiding “most” of the immediate KC area…it helped to weaken the cap and the 2nd line was able to plunge southwards. ^JL

  • Brian

    I know you guys redesigned the website, but you may just let your IT people know that I get a message saying to upgrade my IE browser. I use a work computer and am unable to update. I would assume I am not the only one in this situation. Just something to consider.

  • Jennifer Bronson

    Hey Joe! Love the informative blog again. Could we possibly get a direct link to it on the weather drop down off the main page. Kind of a pain to have to go on a hunt to find it. BTW, I have some amazing cloud pix from last week when I flew from Chicago to KC in the middle of a super cell storm. Where would you like me to send them…FB or email?

    Jennifer

  • Patrick Trudel (@sedsinkc)

    First visit to the redesigned Fox 4 web page. I think I like it! FWIW received 1.13″ Sunday night and 0.73″ this morning for 1.86 total so far this week. Hoping to squeeze out some more before the week is out. Real interesting stuff about those heat bursts. First heard of those back in the 1980’s while I lived in North Texas. A well known TV meteorologist in Dallas-Fort Worth named Harold Taft first made me aware of the phenomenon.