Joe’s Weather Blog: Big Rains For Some…Now About Odile (WED-9/17)

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Stormy early morning…with some significant rainfall in parts of the Metro while others had only a few drops…the heaviest rains were in the Gardner/Olathe area of JOCO and also into Miami and Cass Counties…maps forthcoming.

Forecast:

Rest of today: Most of the rain is moving away and while there may be a few lingering showers…clouds will hang around for awhile. Things should improve a little in the afternoon with highs in the 70s.

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with lows in the 60s

Tomorrow: Mixed clouds and sunshine…breezy and seasonable with highs in the 70s

Discussion:

Some pretty decent rainfall overnight with some heavier totals out there…especially on the south side and south of the KC area…here is a map from the Overland Park Stormwatch program showing the heaviest totals…

ScreenHunter_03 Sep. 17 08.44

There are some 1.5-2.5″ (highest was near Olathe Lake) storm totals in there…pretty impressive…there may have been even heavier rains to the south of KC as the doppler storm total product indicates…

ScreenHunter_04 Sep. 17 08.57

So for those who got their fertilizer down over the past weekend…you’re probably pretty happy. At least most are…there were a lot of areas that really had very little rainfall…under 1/4″ or so (if that).

I continue to watch the remnants of Odile…because it is potentially a factor in the weekend forecast…it’s still not clear cut however IF the circulation of Odile will move through the area or potentially pass to teh south. Regardless of that on Friday you’ll be reminded that we’re still in the last few days of summer as temperatures approach 85° and the summer winds kick back in with some higher humidity.

What we also know is that a cold front is going to move into the region at some point over the weekend…there is a potential it could slow down enough to be more of a factor on Sunday as opposed to Saturday which would mean SAT is potentially another warm day. Of course with the timing of the front a question and the future of the remnants of Odile a question that means the weekend forecast is problematic. Odile’s slow journey though the Plains may also slow the progress of the front down as well…so there are right now more questions than answers in regards to how the weekend plays out. Regardless of those questions I have a lot of confidence in the atmosphere being rather juicy when the front or Odile’s remnants (or some sort of combination) come into play…so the prospects for decent+ rainfall continue. I’m not sure we’ll feel more confident about the weekend forecast till tomorrow afternoon.

Take a look at what’s left of Odile now…

 

Here is a closer look…

 

The moisture continues to stream in the SW part of the country…

 

Finally while on the subject of the tropics…yesterday for the 1st time in almost 2 years there actually was a major hurricane in the basin…Edouard. Yesterday the winds were over 120 MPH…now down to 90 MPH and slowly weakening as it get’s farther and farther northwards into the cooler Atlantic waters. It’s about 600 miles ENE of Bermuda.

 

What’s amazing to think about is that the last time the US coastline was impacted by a “major” hurricane was back in 2005 (Wilma) some 3250 days and counting. Sandy was a minimal storm in terms of wind strength at impact and technically not even a hurricane when it crossed the coastline in southern NJ.

Another cooldown is expected from Sunday through Tuesday of next week.

I’ll see you tonight at 5/6/9/10!

Joe

 

 

 

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