Joe’s Weather Blog: Near Record Heat + A Freeze? (SUN-10/26)

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Good morning…temperatures are starting the day rather mild in the area and a couple of things you’ll notice today are the warm readings and also the nasty winds that will develop later this morning into this afternoon. The winds may influence the kicking game today with the Chiefs, especially in the 2nd half.

Forecast: (various updates at 10PM SUN nite)

Rest Of Today: Sunny skies and getting windy. Temperatures today will soar into the mid 80s. The record is 87° in 1963. I think we’ll fall just short of it, but there were some 90° readings in OK yesterday with a bunch of record highs in the southern Plains so it will be close. As I wrote about late last week, the winds today will really be cranking. Just above the surface they will be blowing at 40-50 +MPH this afternoon so winds may gust to 30-45 MPH on the ground. Also the dewpoints will be more “spring-ish” today as well. Overall odds are you may be turning the A/C back on again.

Tonight: Mild with a continued south wind. Lows in the mid 60s.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers (that may be overstated for KC. Odds better SE of KC metro area. A few claps of thunder as well. Not all will get rain however. Temperatures in the upper 70s.  Winds will shift from the S/SW to the NW in the late PM hours ushering in a return to more seasonable air.

Discussion Tidbits:

>There won’t be any weather issues for the World Series when we have game #6/7 in KC on TUE/WED. It will be cool though on TUE evening with readings in the 50s at gametime and dropping during the game.

>There should be a bunch of record highs in the Plains today…especially from KS southwards. Some areas may experience their hottest weather for so late in the year. Wichita/Salina  (91°/90°) potentially

>Front tomorrow should produce at least some rain but probably SE of KC…although something looks a little “off” with the set-up. So I’m not expecting a lot of rain with this (odds favor under 1/4″)

>The late week front that will move in on THU is more substantial and odds are increasing that the season’s 1st freeze is coming from that…likely now on SAT AM. Lows may drop into the lower 30s for KCI. FRI/SAT highs should only be in the 50s.

> Looks like the early part of NOV “overall” trends mild. After whatever shot of cold air moves in later this week…it moves out. We’re still not really tapping into any Canadian air so that the cold lingers for more than 36 hours or so.

> The Northern Pacific Ocean is REALLY active right now and will be active for awhile. Lots of impressive storms from the Gulf Of Alaska southwards. I bring this up because I’m going to be watching how this influences the warmer waters up there. With such churning of the waters I’m wondering IF those waters start cooling down moreso than last fall. This is important to me because my winter thoughts are connected to a certain degree on that warm water pool hanging tough. We’ll see where we are with that in the next 15 days or so. I’m dropping this picture into the blog showing the anomalies through the eastern Pacific Ocean so I can use it to compare the maps in mid November.

ScreenHunter_04 Oct. 26 09.13

Have a great Sunday and I’ll see you this afternoon sometime on FOX 4 News starting at 3:30 or so with post game on the Chiefs and pre-game on the Royals and everything else. Then of course after the game tonight…around 11PM or so!

Joe

 

 

 

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