Joe’s Weather Blog: It’s Supermoon + eclipse time in KC! (THU-9/24)

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Good afternoon…it’s been a fight with clouds today but overall the weather has been pleasant and the dew points have come down a bit compared to the past few days so the air is somewhat more comfortable today as well. Temperatures, as of this writing, are in to the lower 80s now in the region and we may go up another couple of degrees this afternoon.

Forecast:

Tonight: Fair skies and pleasant with lows 60-65°

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy and mild with highs 80-85°

This weekend: Mostly sunny and mild with highs 80-85°

Discussion:

This weekend something interesting will happen on Sunday evening. It’s time for the supermoon. In reality that is not that interesting really. Every year we have a full moon when the moon’s orbit is closer to the earth than at other full moon times. so the moon appears slightly larger than at other times…in this particular case the moon will be about 14% larger. so really not that big of a deal.

What is also not that big of a deal in the big picture, but something fun to watch is that we’re having a total lunar eclipse this weekend (On Sunday night). This will be very viewable (clouds permitting) in the KC area…

What is unusual is that both are happening at the same time. We’re getting a supermoon AND a total lunar eclipse in KC on Sunday night. That is rare and won’t happen again almost 30 years (2033 and I’m not even sure we get to experience a total lunar eclipse in KC that year). Since 1900 there have been 5 other events like this combination…1910, 1928, 1946, 1964 and 1982.

So let’s talk supermoons again via space.com

Let’s finish with why we get a lunar eclipse…there is a great graphic on the space.com website that shows the whys and whats.

 

Here is a video from NASA also explaining things…

So you add the two together and you should get something like this…

except maybe a bit larger accounting for the supermoon situation.

Overall pretty cool and this is something that can be witnessed with the naked eye and you don’t necessarily need to get away from the city to watch this. Now IF we can just keep the clouds away at the right time.

Speaking of the times…here is the data from timeanddates.com. Click on the image below to make it more readable

Capture1

 

As far as the weather goes..really no changes in my thoughts from yesterday’s blog. There should be some sort of front move through the area sometime later TUE into WED AM. We “may” see some convection with that front but it’s certainly NOT a sure thing…then we warm up again into later next week.

The newest EURO model perhaps went off the deep end for NEXT weekend with a powerful cold front moving through the region placing the area into a pretty chilly air mass next SAT/SUN. I’m not convinced that is going to happen because the way the model is doing all this seems rather strange and not right at this point in time. It’s also a rather significant departure from the previous model run so that doesn’t bode well for confidence matters.

Also the GFS ensembles are certainly NOT in that camp at all…

Basically expect the overall temperature trends to continue to be above average into the 1st week of October…something else of note…more dry weather in the KC area. Maybe not perfectly dry but below average for the next 2 weeks or so it appears I believe.

That’s it for today. Another blog will come tomorrow afternoon!

Joe

 

 

 

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