Joe’s Weather Blog: A Tuesday change in the wind (SUN-9/27)

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Good afternoon. As expected clouds are blotching out the sunshine every so often in the area right now. Many of these clouds will slowly dissipate this evening although areas farther to the SE/E of KC may have cloud issues for tonight’s eclipse. For better viewing if you’re under a blanket of clouds now, you may need to drive closer to KC for a better view of tonight’s astronomical events.

Forecast:

Tonight: Gradual clearing this evening. Temperatures dropping to near 60° towards daybreak.

Monday: More sunshine and warmer with highs 80-85°

Tuesday: A cold front will be coming through the area before lunch. Temperatures may struggle to warm up in the afternoon depending on the clouds. It may well be in the 60s for a good part of the day before struggling to 70-75° late in the afternoon. There is also the potential for at least some scattered showers with somewhat better rain chances farther north of KC.

Discussion:

Again a reminder about the eclipse and supermoon tonight…we should be in pretty good shape around here as the evening wears along. It should be pretty neat to watch. See my blog from Thursday for more details. For those who are stuck in the clouds and may want to watch it online…here you go. The feed starts at around 7PM CDT. Here is another link that starts it’s feed at 8PM tonight.

Onto the meteorology…

Clouds are certainly in the area today as I expected. They are cutting the max temperatures a few degrees from there potential as well I think.

You can see the thicker cloud cover out towards the east of the state line. These clouds shouldn’t be much of a factor on Monday and as a result it should be a few degrees warmer with highs into the 80s. There won’t be much wind tomorrow…so temperatures will struggle from reaching there full potential, if there was more wind.

The other item of note is a nice seasonably strong front that’s going to move into the area on Tuesday. This front will send temperatures down by about 10° or so compared to Monday.

The cooler air should move in before noon on Tuesday. So Tuesday may be a weird day for temperatures. We may start in the 60s…drop a few degrees before lunch, then start to recover a bit in the later afternoon hours. I’m also expecting a rather stiff NNE wind to blow for a few hours around lunch…so that will certainly make things “feel” cooler in the area on Tuesday. At this point I wouldn’t be surprised if the highs sort of get stuck around 70° or so in the AM…then waffle in the 60s in the afternoon.

There may be some showers in the vicinity as well, but they should be weakening quite a bit in the afternoon hours.

Wednesday looks to be a rather seasonable late September day with highs int he 70-75° range. One note about Wednesday. There may be some showers in the vicinity again. We’ll be in NW flow aloft and IF something can form in NE, it would tend to drift our way during the day. Right now I’ll probably keep the rain chances out…but something to watch for.

From there things look to be rather seasonable heading into early October. Interestingly the GFS ensembles are rather cool looking for next weekend. It’s not so much as if we’re getting a dump of real Canadian air into the area. It’s more of the cool air mass type that develops on it’s own in the Lakes region and sort of expands through the area over the weekend. There is an upper level storm that may try to develop across the TN/OH Valley region. This allows the flow to once again take on a more easterly or NEasterly component through the Lakes and into the eastern Plains region especially later in the week.

OK that’s it for today. Enjoy the show tonight from above!

Joe

 

 

 

 

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