Another Storm Moves In

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Well we’ve certainly come a long way in the past 10 days or so concerning the moisture situation, I’m sure the farmers are now happy as the top soil is getting recharged, and with the snow melting today, that moisture will seep in nicely. While the snow amounts weren’t overly generous, that moisture is good because it won’t really runoff. The NWS in Pleasant Hill put out this snow accumulation map today.

KCI officially picked up 2.4″ bring the yearly total up to 3.1″. That’s still some 1.4″ away from tying the record low seasonal snow total. There isn’t much for snowlovers to get excited about, because while there appears to be storms coming in the future, cold air may, as usual this winter, be an issue.

Here is a look at that snowcover from earlier today, thanks to the satellite photo from this AM.

There are some clouds in there, in the top photo especially on the MO side off towards the east of the metro area. In the bottom photo, there are clouds in central Kansas in an ESE to WNW band if you will.

Take for example the storm due in tomorrow. From an upper level standpoint, it’s the type of storm that should give us a decent to a lot of snow.  Potentially IF the storm from yesterday delivered some cold air to the region, that could’ve helped the cause. Since the storm yesterday did not, and the one tomorrow will struggle to tap cold air as well, we’re looking at a rain event here, with the potential of some rumbles of thunder, especially in the AM.

The storm now is in the SW part of the country, near AZ.

It will move to the ENE through the next 36 hours and clear through here later tomorrow night. As the storm moves closer to us, milder air and moisture will again stream in aloft aided by a low level jetstream that will be blowing at close to 30-40 MPH. This will generate a growing area of rain and thunder towards the immediate south of KC. Farther up into the atmosphere, at around 20K feet, the air will be spreading apart (difluence) this too will enable the lower part of the air column to rise and replace it, creating lift. So we should see a decent to large area of rain spread our way first thing tomorrow AM. Once you go up to about 8-9K feet, the air will be below freezing. In situations like these, during the winter season, it’s not out of the question that we can get some small hail come from some of these cells as well. it does appear that the rain tomorrow may favor the AM hours in terms of decent amounts. The activity in the PM may be lighter and more intermittent.

Rainfall amounts are tricky to pin down at this point. Since there should be convection in the embedded rainfall area, there will be some locally higher amounts. Here is what the NAM model is thinking for total rainfall.

Essentially painting a 1/2″-1″ totals in the region with much lighter amounts farther northwards and slightly higher totals S/SE of KC.

After the storm goes by, pacific air will again move into the region, basically meaning that the rest of the week should see moderating highs near 50°.

Another storm will be moving in on either MON (GFS) or TUE (EURO) the Canadian model has it on TUE, but also gives us 3-6″ of snow.

I saw these images today, thought you might enjoy looking at them. There is certainly an element of truth in there!

The images were on Dana Turtles FB page I guess. Not sure where he got them. They are pretty funny. Click on he image to make them larger.

That’s about it for today. I’ll update the blog again tomorrow. One other thing, be alert for the potential for some fog as well, before the rain gets going tomorrow AM.

Joe

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