Be ‘Weather Aware’ Friday & Saturday

Just Some Weather Eye Candy

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No I’m not referring to the latest European model either…or am I?

Well another morning and I believe another another record warm low temperature to start the day with readings this AM dropping to only 69°. I was surprised that we got so warm yesterday with all the cloud cover around the area…but somehow we maxed out @ 83° which was almost 20° above average. Heck St Joe topped out at 86°.

There really hasn’t been too many local changes in the data with regards to the weather through Thursday. The warm humid airmass in place will be swept away from the region as we head through Thursday midday and there will be a chance of rain with that boundary.

Last night a disturbance that was talked about yesterday managed to generate some some impressive rainfall. Check out how much rain fell towards the Sedalia area almost 3″.

Very impressive and a surprise I’d say.

I’m still expecting some colder weather on Friday and Saturday. Whatever rain moves through on Thursday, and the amounts and length of that rain is still a large question, it will be swept away and the dry cool air building down through the Plains states into the weekend. This means some chilly air. Highs may only be in the 40s on Friday and Saturday before we start seeing a nice rebound on Sunday as the airmass modifies and the winds turn towards the south.

Finally, I’ve been talking about this potential weird but VERY intense storm for the eastern part of the country for the last couple of days. The model data this AM is still showing this potential (except the GFS [American model]). So here is some weather eye candy for you. The first image is the Canadian model for next Monday night.

That’s a 939 mb superstorm/hurricane/Nor’easter hybrid system that equates to 27.72″ which would be disastrous IF this were true for the NE part of the country. Now here is the EURO model for the same time.

That’s a 28.37″ (961 mbs) storm just a bit farther east of the Canadian model. Finally, here is the GFS (American model) which is much farther out to sea.

This is because the models are trying to handle what is now Tropical Storm Sandy which is located to the south of Jamaica.

What exactly is going to happen here is still a big question, but it’s certainly got my attention and while the worst case scenario of the Canadian is unlikely, it just shows some potential that needs to be recognized. How the system responsible for our cold air delivery later in the week interacts with the tropical system will determine the fate of the storm for the NE part of the country.

Enjoy the warmth! 80s are likely for another couple of days!

Joe

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