Joe’s Weather Blog: Hello Summer…Where Have You Been?

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I’ll keep this blog somewhat on the short side…again for those interested in seeing Reed Timmer and the gang from Stormchasers talk to the KC chapter of the AMS, please see the previous blog for details and RSVP information. There is still a minor question about if he’ll be chasing or not on Tuesday, but right now we’re still a go at this point.

Skies across the immediate area are mostly sunny, but that may change a bit over the next several hours especially for areas from KC northeastwards. Clouds are wrapping around an upper level storm in IA this afternoon and have moved into areas from Platte county northwards.

ScreenHunter_15 Jun. 09 13.53

Those thicker clouds are wrapping to the SE…so farther to the SW will stay mostly sunny, while areas closer and NE of KC may go mostly cloudy during the afternoon. More sun-80°, more clouds=75° or so.

Tomorrow looks fantastic with highs in the lower 80s or so.

Then the airmass will switch. Aloft there will be a large and expansive area of hot air building through the Plains states. Look at the difference in airmasses comparing temperatures @ 5,000 feet between tomorrow AM and Tuesday PM.

 

That is hot air moving our way…

 

Our hi-res NAM model is going sort of nuts for highs for our area on Tuesday…but it may be on to something for areas across central and western KS where the heat may be searing on Tuesday and then again on Wednesday.

ScreenHunter_16 Jun. 09 14.01

Click on the image above to see summer in full force.

As the heat builds in early TUE AM there may be a scattered storm out there, around or before daybreak. Right now the chance for any one spot looks to be under 20%.

This is a very dry pattern potentially setting up, and if there are no surprises we may not get another good rain (like last night) for 5+ days in the area. The trick is whether or not the KC area may or may not get into a more favorable early AM thunderstorm pattern with storms developing in the upper Midwest region and sliding to the SE or SSE. There are unconvincing signs of that happening later in the week.

Those chilly pool waters may be rather refreshing this week!

Joe

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