Joe’s Weather Blog: Slowly But Surely It Will Cool Off (SUN-9/28)

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Good afternoon…another Chamber of Commerce day out there as we’re enjoying a mix of clouds/sun with temperatures near 80° as of this writing. The great weather will continue for a couple ofmore days before the advertised changes start to occur on Wednesday.

Forecast:

Through Tuesday: Clouds/sunshine with highs 80-85° and lows near 60°. Wind will pick up on Tuesday a bit.

Wednesday: Showers with some embedded thunder are possible during the day, Rain chance is 60% at this point. It probably won’t rain all day and depending n when the rain moves in, that will help determine the highs for the day. faster arrival…cooler day overall.

Discussion:

This blog will be a shorty compared to others written lately because I really got into a lot of this stuff in yesterday’s blog…plus there is the Royals game that needs to be watched. BTW if we end up in Baltimore in the ALDS…there is the potential of rain there later THU.

Before though I get to our weather…I wanted to touch on an impressive storm affecting the parts of the western US. Once again a lot of the desert of AZ got another dumping of rain in the Phoenix area yesterday…

 

 

Another daily rainfall record was set at the airport there with 1.64″. This is the 2nd record set there in the last few weeks and they’ve had over 5″ of rain this month alone…which is more than doubled the KC rainfall. Meanwhile in Dallas, TX a whooping .06″ of rain has fallen this month…making this September the driest month in their recorded history.

Meanwhile…

We’re into the middle of some great weather in the KC area. We’ve seen a littlegulf moisture work its way northwards and yesterday and today that has helped to create some cumulus clouds which, depending on what time you look at the blog today, you can see on the satellite image.

 

These clouds are formed in the afternoon heating…once the sun starts to go down and that heating is waning, the clouds will fade away. We may have the same phenomena happen again tomorrow and Tuesday.

The rain prospects on WED into early THU continue to look good. I’m still hopeful that we could get 1/2-1″ of rain out of this…hopefully some more than that.  One thing that is becoming more apparent in the model trends is that we’re seeing a speed up in the end to the rain. The double shot of cooler air that I wrote about yesterday is still on track as well. Another item about WED PM would be the potential of some stronger storms…that aspect though remains to be seen depending on the instability that we can achieve and that will help be determined by how warm we end up.

Wednesday will certainly see more clouds, and probably at least some rain in the region. Should the rain hold off till the PM…we could get into the 70s…should it come earlier we may struggle to get to 70°. Then we should see the 1st cold front move through the area early THU…that should take the moisture away from the region in the lower levels…then the upper level trof will sweep through the area around lunch and that should strip the clouds away in the PM. So the best chance of rain would probably be in the AM hours THU…perhaps early AM depending on the speed of things. Overall it may not be such a bad afternoon and temperatures while cooler may still be pretty comfortable

Then early FRI AM a seasonably strong cold front will move through the region and deliver about a 1 day chill to the region. Highs on FRI look to be in the 60-65° range. Then as quickly as it moves in it will move away next weekend…

Odds favor a return to around 65-70° next SAT and then a run back to near 75° next Sunday with no threat of rainfall next weekend at this point. So it appears that another great weekend is on tap for the area NEXT weekend…which is great news for the American Royal and also for the racing out at KS Speedway!

 

 

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