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Joe’s Weather Blog; Rollercoaster 7 days + Then A Longer Dip (TUE-2/10)

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Our feature photo of the day is of yours truly and Cassidy from Mill Creek Upper Elementary School in Belton!  She was kind enough to nominate FOX 4 to the the “Kindest Kansas Citian” for our work in the weather department as well as other aspects of the station’s community endeavors. Cassidy we thank you!

Skies have cleared out for many in the area and after a frosty start we should see some nice moderation to the afternoon temperature…really the weather story continues to be (at least for us) an up and down temperature ride through Monday of next week…followed by come colder air that may linger for awhile.

Forecast:

Today: Mostly sunny skies and milder than yesterday. Temperatures today should be in the 50-55° range. I don’t think it will get out of control because SE winds are not known for that during February. Still though it will be about 10° above average…

Tonight: Fair skies initially but getting more cloudy towards daybreak tomorrow as a cold front moves into the area before daybreak. Lows in the 30s

Tomorrow: Variable clouds and cooler with highs 35-40°.

Thursday: Colder with highs in the 25-30° range.

Discussion:

Kansas City has had 8.7″ of snow this winter…Boston is up to 77.3″ of snow (as of 12AM)…after another 14+” yesterday  (the latest storm produced 23.1″ overall). They’re breaking all sorts of records up there and at least today is on  pace for their snowiest winter ever (95-96). They’ve now had 2 top 10 snowstorms in the last few weeks (6th and 7th place)

Sort of says it all right…

As for as the KC area goes the NWS in Pleasant Hill came up with this graphic this morning that shows the snow totals so far this snow season (since 7/1)

Typically snow amounts vary about 6-9″ between north and south through the viewing area if memory serves…

 

Note that that map included data into 2009 I think…so it misses a few big winter totals and 1 winter of little snow.

Around the KC area…once again when the cold air masses move in…they’ll struggle to produce any significant moisture. The take-away is that we’ll be cold on THU and SAT. Moderate in between. Then turn colder on Tuesday of next week and stay cold into the end of the week. As far as the following weekend goes…I’m not sure that we don’t start moderating again. There shouldn’t be snowcover around of significance (unless that late MON>TUE system does something decent for snow here) so the air masses will moderate. AM lows though on SUN and WED/THU next week may approach 0-5°. We’ve been there and done that a few times this winter…and it appears we’ll do it again.

At this point the significant snow prospects don’t look overwhelming…although we still need to pay attention to the 17th or so as we make a deeper transition to the cold.

Not much else to really write about today…it’s a northeastern US winter for sure now…the worst of the cold coming over the next 10 days will be focused more there…we’ll get brief chunks of it and then get a bigger taste next TUE>THU. Here is an animation of the cold air masses coming down the pike…again it seems that KC will get into some of them…but the true brunt of the worst may be farther off towards the east of the region. Animation is courtesy of WeatherBell

Have a great Tuesday and enjoy the milder afternoon.

Joe

 

 

 

 

 

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