Joe’s Weather Blog: Cold And A Messy Weekend (WED-2/18)

This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Please look at the time stamp on the story to see when it was last updated.

Good afternoon…temperatures are struggling today to warm up with a brisk NW wind contributing to a cold “feel” out there. Sub-zero wind chills are still present…

Forecast:

Tonight: Fair skies and cold(!) with lows in the single digits.

Tomorrow: Increasing clouds with some light snow or flurries possible. Accumulations may be a dusting to about 1″ from this but it shouldn’t be too widespread. Timing is later in the morning into the afternoon. This should occur after morning rush hour but potentially could effect the evening rush hour tomorrow. Temperatures will stay cold with readings only near 20° so the snow will again be rather light and fluffy.

Friday: Mostly cloudy and not as cold with highs near 35°

Discussion:

Thought I’d start the blog today with one of my favorite things to look at and that would be the visible satellite picture showing the snowcover on the ground in the KC area…click on the image below to make it more readable.

Capture

For a change most of the snowcover seems to be south of 36 highway in N MO. Although there seems to be an area of less snow cover on the south side of the metro represented by the darker area showing up. As you look carefully at the image you can see the various rivers and lakes int eh region which I think is always neat to look for.

Nationally almost 45% of the US is covered in snow this morning…that’s the most snow, on this date, since 2010. Every state has at least some snow except for FL.

 

Speaking of snow…

Boston has had more than 8x’s the snow in KC.

We’ll try and catch up a bit over the next few days…the weekend system has the promise of giving us more snow…but at this point because of temperatures through the atmosphere…it’s hard to imagine that this will be a big snowstorm for the KC area.

The weak system tomorrow may contribute a little snow as mentioned in the forecast part at the top of the blog. The system over the weekend though looks to be somewhat more moist…but as the atmosphere moistens up it will also briefly warm-up a little bit, especially above the surface and it appears that most of whatever falls on Saturday morning will be some sort of wintry mix (sleet/freezing rain or just a cold rain). Temperatures will be near 31-35° at the surface…but above us may be a pinch warmer in spots…and that’s the problem for snow lovers at least initially…but…

It does appear we should transition over sometime in the afternoon but the snow window would be about 6-12 hours long (if that). There is some potential for this storm to “over-produce”. I’m somewhat encouraged by the tracks of the various upper level features for a change. The GFS is not exactly the greatest for snow totals…but the NAM is sniffing out something and the EURO is too. Could this be out 1st “real” snowstorm? Still too early to answer but again this does seem to be somewhat more of a real looking storm for a change.

As I mentioned yesterday there will be another rather strong cold air mass building southwards behind this feature. We’re probably going to see a couple of them next week reenforcing the cold weather for the rest of the month.

That’s about it for today…next update coming tomorrow by 4PM.

Joe

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s