Joe’s Weather Blog: Cooler Then Wetter Then Cooler

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Good afternoon…pretty day out there with loads of sunshine and temperatures that are well into the 60s as I type this. We should make a run towards 70° before the afternoon is out. It also turned into a cool morning as well with readings into the 30s for many areas away from the city. KCI dropped to 39° while the coolest I could find in the region was Clinton/Excelsior Springs/Bonner Springs with a low of 37°

Forecast:

Tonight: Fair skies turning partly cloudy overnight. Chilly again with lows in the upper 30s.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy and cooler with highs in 55-60°

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and cool again with highs near 60°. Light winds.

Discussion:

It’s not exactly a warm weather pattern we’re in right now…nor will it be for the next 10 days or so. If you remember from the weekend we talked about this rather extensively and while highs today are average…it’s going to be a challenge to get to average highs for at least a little while.

It may not be till early next week that we finally warm up again (in terms of average highs). Before then however we’re going to have some opportunities for rain with the better chances coming Friday into Saturday. Over the next 24 hours or so, we need to watch for a pesky disturbance or two moving from the western Plains towards the SE and ESE. Some of the model data continues to indicate the potential for some scattered showers with maybe some thunder developing towards the south of KC. Something to keep and eye out for towards the Butler and Clinton area.

The cooler weather though is noteworthy right now…take a look at the temperatures (in RED) at the 2PM hour…a lot of near 40° temperatures up in the upper Midwest. That is snow by the way up towards N MN. As a matter of fact once you get towards northern reaches of MN…it’s only near 30°

 

Some of the cooler weather to our north will be sneaking into the region tonight and then recirculating in the area tomorrow and Thursday. Add in a bunch of clouds on Thursday and it’s going to be tough to warm up to average for awhile.

Our next more significant chance of moisture will hold off till Friday. This will be associated with a stronger upper level system lifting out of the SW part of the country. You can make out the system now in CA.

 

It will be weakening as it moves into the Plains states later in the week. As a matter of fact it sort of looks like a somewhat dysfunctional set-up for a lot of rain here…when in reality for late April it should be a rather potent storm system up here. At this point it appears the better chances of severe weather however will not be in our area…although areas from I-35 in Wichita southwards to TX will need be alert for severe storms.

On the subject of moisture…here is where things stand in the Plains for the year so far. These are the departures from normal. Click to make it more readable via the SE Regional Climate Center

Capture

One thing for sure the grass is certainly growing fast out there!

Joe

 

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