Joe’s Weather Blog: Rain fades away…heat creeps back (WED-8/5)

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Good morning…I’ll be filling in this evening and tomorrow for Mike who is off for the next couple of weeks. The weather will be challenging and after this minor (for KC) rain moves away, things may start to dry out for a few days. The rain has certainly been steadier and heavier the farther south of KC you go and also towards the south and west of Topeka. Rainfall amounts of 3″+ totals have been reported out there.

Forecast:

This afternoon: Variable clouds with some breaks of sun possible. There may be a few instability showers that bubble up, especially towards the north of KC if there is enough sunshine out there. Needless to say highs today should struggle with readings in the the 70s to perhaps 80s in some areas up north where there are thin spots in the clouds.

Tonight: Decreasing clouds but we may see some fog develop in some areas where skies really clear out. Lows in the 60s

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy and we should be dry and warm…highs into the 80s

Discussion:

Yesterday was a weird day…I really thought we were going to have a tough time getting rain in the KC metro area…then 2 hours after I write the blog…boom many areas had some decent rainfall. I thought the rain today was going to be tough to come by of any significance and that has worked out. Just some light sprinkles/rain with amounts under 1/10″ of KC. So inĀ  a weird way my forecast for today was better than my forecast from yesterday afternoon. I hate when that happens.

The upper level wave(s) responsible for this are split into several pieces and it’s somewhat easier to see on the water vapor loop this morning.

 

One piece is in NE NE…another piece or pieces are in E KS and SE KS underneath that blanket of moisture. This has been a weird storm for sure but as the whole mess moves eastwards we’ll get into more stable air tomorrow…hence my drier forecast.

Here is the current regional radar…

 

 

On Friday we’re going to see a weak front move through…it may be more of a simple wind shift however, but it should help to keep a developing heat wave across the southern Plains from expanding to the KC area for a few days at least. Basically temperatures for the next 5 days or so look to be pretty seasonable for this region.

With this front/trof whatever…may come another opportunity for rain in the area on Friday during the 1st part of the day. At this point it doesn’t look too significant.

Again though it appears that the worst of the heat developing through the southern Plains will stay towards the south of KC…I wrote about this extensively yesterday and the summer heat will be rather nasty from near Wichita, KS southwards into OK and into TX.

That’s about all for today…busy day ahead…have a great Wednesday.

Joe

 

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