Joe’s Weather Blog: Perseids return + Tidbits (WED-8/12)

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Good morning…nearly perfect out there again this morning as temperatures and dew points are in the 60s with a touch of some valley fog in some areas that will quickly burn off this morning…once again yielding a day much like yesterday with highs in the mid 80s. There really isn’t a lot to get in depth about but there are highlights from my twitter feed (@fox4wx) that I want to touch on…

Forecast:

Today: Mainly sunny and pleasant for mid August. Highs in the mid 80s with dew points like yesterday. Light winds.

Tonight: Carbon copy of last night…lows in the 60s

Tomorrow: Same deal different day with highs 85-90°. Pleasant humidity.

Discussion:

This past weekend I was talking on the air about how August was typically the month that I should be putting up my feet on the weekends and relaxing…however we’ve been fighting a pretty active weather pattern it seemed, especially on the weekends lately with storms and flooding concerns…we’ll that has come to an end and we’re actually now in a very quiet and relaxing weather pattern with comfortably warm days. Humidity levels will be creeping up towards the weekend and so will the temperatures…nothing too extreme but more summer weather is coming through early next week.

For many this may be the week you have to get some water on the yards if you so choose. Mother nature doesn’t want to help out…for northern MO this isn’t such a bad thing as they’ve certain;y had a lot more rain than the KC area has over the last few months, especially in the last month and a half.

Back home there really isn’t much of a chance ahead till perhaps Monday or Tuesday of next week and that doesn’t look to be the greatest at this point. Our next decent cold front may not arrive till Wednesday of next week…so we may not get much rain for another 5-7 days it seems. That’s why the sprinklers may get a bit of a work out over the next week or so.

Speaking of rain…remember all that rain in Texas over the past few months…well so much for that…the rain has again been switched off for many areas down there. In the last 30 days parts of the state (many) haven’t had any rain to speak of.  Check out this graphic via WeatherBell…the white areas represent no rainfall. The Panhandle has done OK but even the east coast area is well below average.

nws_precip_texas_30

Over the next 2 days or so…not a lot is expected either…

ndfd_rain_texas_9

 

To take this even farther…here is the 7 day forecast for that region.

hpc_total_precip_tx_28

As they continue to dry out…it’s getting hotter and hotter. 8 out of the 11 days so far in August have been 100° or above in DFW. 2 other days were 99°…we’re seeing this heat expand through much of the state. The wet soils are now becoming parched again as they bake out the spring rainfall…and there are parts of the state technically slipping back into drought status too…

The last weather blog talked a bit about El Nino and it’s effects on the tropics in the atlantic Basin. Well things haven’t changed much over the past few days. No development is expected through the weekend…and IF you look at the water vapor images…that brown area in the Tropical Atlantic (representing dry air) roughly corresponds to where we look out for disturbances to be getting their act together during August. Dry air is certainly not conducive to tropical development.

 

On the pacific side, which has been more active and is also in the area of the warmer Ocean temperatures created by El Nino…it’s not terribly active. There is a weakening tropical storm near HI and there is something just off the picture and off the coast of Mexico that will probably develop into something down the road.

 

With El Nino getting stronger…hurricanes on the Atlantic side are tougher to get…especially stronger ones.

In the western Pacific Ocean…things are about to pop again with the potential of side by side hurricanes forming out of this mess of clouds…

 

The lower middle part of the map are the Philippines…the little dots of land on the right are the Mariana Islands and Guam in particular…they are watching for the potential of a tropical cyclone developing this weekend and effecting parts of those islands.

Finally…you may see a meteor or several overnight, especially if your away from the city lights. Tonight is the peak of the Perseid meteor shower.

 

Conditions are good with mostly cloud free skies expected and no moonlight to interfere. The best tie for this is the wee hours of tomorrow morning…

The earth is passing through the orbit and the debris of the comet Swift-Tuttle. Bits and pieces of that debris from the comet (thanks to melting heat from the sun) slam into the upper part of the earth’s atmosphere are around 130,000 MPH. Most “meteors” are no bigger than a grain of sand…which is amazing when you can see the light created by them.

With all that said…I always make no promises when it comes to these types of celestial shows…often they are no big deal it seems like for us in the Plains…

OK that’s it for today…we’ll see if I can cobble something together for tomorrow…you may remember by blog rule though…IF I have nothing really to say or write about…I won’t waste your time.

Joe

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1 Comment

  • Patrick Trudel (@sedsinkc)

    The lack of rain in Central Texas after an extremely wet start to the year through June is remarkable. As of today, Waco is at 43 consecutive days without even a trace of rainfall. With a dry week expected ahead, they will likely break their record of 47 consecutive dry days, set in 1918. (Waco’s record for consecutive days with a trace of rain or less is 82, however, set in 1924)