Joe’s Weather Blog: The snow is here and will stick (THU-11/8)

Good afternoon…it’s a snowy one out there although so far this afternoon most of the snow is roughly from KC southwards. The forecast appears to be mostly on track with temperatures this afternoon near freezing and road temperatures this afternoon are in the 35-40° range through the middle of the afternoon. More snow is coming and we will in time start to see, at least some accumulations, especially on the grass and exposed surfaces. It’s starting to occur now and will continue to go through the evening.



Forecast:

Tonight: Snow continuing through 1AM or so. Anywhere from a dusting to 2″ expected…the 2″ potential is a bit higher on the southside and south of KC proper and mostly on the grassy areas and exposed surfaces. Lows in the upper 20s

Friday: Turning cold and windy with temperatures in the 30-35° range but with the winds out of the NW at 25 mph…it will feel colder

Saturday: Mostly sunny and cold with highs in the 30s

Sunday: Windy and not as cold but it will still feel cold with highs in the 40s



Discussion:

So things are progressing along. Today (11/8) may be only the 3rd 11/8 with measurable snow of more than a trace up at KCI. So we had our earliest accumulating snow in OCT and now this.

Radar above this afternoon shows the better snows in the green shading. There may be some rain as a starting point towards the south of the KC area…towards the Lakes region where Sedalia/Clinton is 37°

The atmosphere just above the surface is plenty cold enough for snow…there were a few ice pellets/rain drops at first for some of you…but that didn’t last long. I had a feeling this was going to be a mostly snow event for the KC area.

Amounts will hold in the dusting to 2″ range. I’ll be curious to see how much comes north of KC…where radar doesn’t look so great this afternoon. Flip that and it appears that areas on the south side could get the upper end of that…maybe in some spots a bit more. The accumulating snows though should hold off till tonight when the sun sets.

Roads will remain wet through the middle of the evening at least. Treated roads should escape without too many issues from this wintry event. Untreated roads and especially any untreated bridges and overpasses may be problematic overnight and tomorrow morning.

Keep an eye on the following temperature map (in red) for current temperatures.

Meanwhile look up towards the northern Plains…look towards the NW Plains in particular…that’s a chunk of very cold (even by November standards) air that’s on the move.

See the red numbers (temperatures)…lots of teens rushing into the country right now…that cold air will rush towards us tomorrow and arrive later in the morning and in the afternoon. Whatever “warmth” we build up tomorrow will occur near noon before the temperatures start dropping again…and there may be some flurries or snow showers in the region as well.

The weekend overall looks to be OK but Saturday will be a windy one for sure in the afternoon.

Of note is another system to watch for next week…especially on Monday late into early Tuesday. There are a few things that aren’t lined up at this point for a KC snowmaker…BUT a few shifts here and there could yield something more interesting…just something to watch for now I think.

I continue to think a pattern flip towards milder weather is coming later next week into next weekend…and that may have some legs into Thanksgiving week.

OK that’s about it for today…I’m going to update this during a FB Live coming up shortly.

Our feature photo comes from Tammy Grimmett in La Cygne on the frosting on a Burning Bush

Joe

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