This may be my last blog for a bit as I’m on vacation and may not get an opportunity to update things that much. I may try to get an update out there a couple of times, but I think the weather is about self explanatory at this point and while we’ll get a short reprieve from the intense summer heat of recent days…100-105°, it will be temporary and the “break” won’t be overly dramatic, we’re talking a setback to seasonable levels…probably more in the 92-97° range before we head back to the 100° range by the end of the weekend or early next week.
The front that will help the cause is locating across the Plains states and moving this way. Their are some decent dewpoints that are moving this way, but the juiciest air may get pushed up towards the Ozarks and SE MO, where in the end the better rains may fall.
I think you know the drill, as the front moves eastwards today, storms should develop along and behind the front, those storms will probably weaken somewhat as they approach the area, while many will get at least some rainfall, the amounts, as usual will vary greatly and while some may luck out, the modelling is not too optimistic about many places getting more than 1/2″ or so which seems to be par for the course with the way things have gone this summer. Here is the rain forecast off the NAM model.
Again, as MT has talked about, be grateful that you get some rain but don’t be shocked if you get little rainfall or even none at all. Let’s put it this way, despite rain being in the forecast, I’m still watering today.
As far as the timing goes, there may be a few showers in the region this evening, but the better chances go up towards midnight or so.
Temperatures behind this front are sort of tricky to figure out…IF we have enough clouds around tomorrow, we should be in the 90-95° range, IF we get more sunshine, I think we could pop into 93-98° range.
The intense heat will only be pushed to our S/SW, it won’t be far away and as a result should come right back at us towards the end of the weekend.
Finally as you know I love number crunching but there are others that love it to…check out Jayson Prentice
weather blog for the day putting the KC heat and drought for the year in perspective for you!