Joe’s Wx Blog: New Day…Same Rain Pattern

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Another impressive cluster of storms last night, and while not being directly hit another solid 1″+ of rainfall fell through parts of the region early this AM. Clouds that we have as of this writing will give way to sunshine and humid conditions despite the progress of a weak front that will be moving through the region today switching winds to the NE…but in reality the “drier” air won’t make it to us for a couple of more days.

As is typical with these clusters of storms, some get pounded and others go lacking or get very little rainfall. Here is a series of maps showing the rain totals through the immediate KC area…we’ll start on the far side of the metro and work our way northwards…

ScreenHunter_13 Aug. 07 08.14

ScreenHunter_14 Aug. 07 08.14

ScreenHunter_15 Aug. 07 08.15

and finally here is a look at the doppler rain totals from the NWS in Pleasant Hill

ScreenHunter_16 Aug. 07 08.15

Notice that rainfall down towards the Lake of the Ozarks…they’ve been pounded again with more serious flooding in Pulaski County. Last night we showed some the of the devastating flooding in Waynesville. Overnight they had another 3″ of rainfall! I-44 closed at mile-marker 172 near Jerome due to flooding and the Governor who was supposed to visit Waynesville today had to cancel because of the additional flooding going on.

11AM Update: The new data out this AM doesn’t really have anything going on later tonight into tomorrow. Perhaps the atmosphere is too jumbled up after all the convection and rainfall through the Plains over the last couple of days. It does have something here for FRI AM. I should mention the there is one model still giving us the rain tomorrow…the hi-res NAM model which has been doing reasonably OK lately…or at least better than the other models have been. What this does do though is cast a bit of doubt into the situation for tomorrow AM especially. I’ll be trying to figure that out later this afternoon and update things @ 5PM tonight.

Now back to the previous blog+++++++

 

 

Tonight into tomorrow will offer another chance of additional heavy rainfall in the area. We’ll be watching another wave come out of the Rockies, the timing though indicates that the rain may linger longer into the day tomorrow and that may keep highs only in the 70s for tomorrow afternoon depending on the amount of clouds later in the day.

Our overnight hi-res NAM model suggests an additional 1/2″-2″ of rain with the next wave heading towards the region. Again we may not take a “direct” hit from this, but hopefully this will help to “spread the wealth” a little bit when it comes to rainfall totals.

ScreenHunter_17 Aug. 07 08.27

You can sort of see though that there will be areas that don’t get as much rain…that may be farther north and farther behind the boundary that is moving through the region today. Let’s see how things look this evening as we’ll be tracking the wave better through the Rockies.

I’ll try and update the blog later today or this evening.

Joe

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